72 public cloud companies analyzed for early signs of AI cost-revenue imbalance

72 public cloud companies analyzed for early signs of AI cost-revenue imbalance

The AI Cost-Revenue Divergence (ACRD) detection framework compares revenue growth, cost-of-revenue growth, and gross-margin change to identify early signs of AI workload margin pressure.

Edge, CDN and
observability
Revenue
Growth
Cost of Revenue
Growth
Cost − Rev
Spread
Gross Margin
Δ
ACRD
Signal
Akamai5.0%5.1%+10 bps−4 bpsNeutral
Cloudflare30.7%52.5%+2,179 bps-372 bpsActive
Datadog29.2%29.6%+40 bps0 bpsNeutral
Digital Ocean15.7%13.2%−253 bps+90 bpsNeutral
Dynatrace18.1%15.4%−270 bps+150 bpsPositive
Elastic15.9%9.5%−640 bps+139 bpsPositive
Fastly7.8%14.6%+680 bps−220 bpsActive
GitLab24.6%45.6%+2,099 bps−190 bpsActive
JFrog25.5%13.2%−1230 bps+760 bpsEmerging
NetScout0.0%-0.3%−30 bps+0 bpsNeutral
PagerDuty4.7%-9.4%−1,414 bps+230 bpsPositive
Data infrastructure and
data platforms
Revenue
Growth
Cost of Revenue
Growth
Cost − Rev
Spread
Gross Margin
Δ
ACRD
Signal
Confluent19.0%8.3%−1,070 bps+180 bpsPositive
Couchbase10.0%15.2%+520 bps−120 bpsEmerging
MongoDB18.7%32.4%+1,371 bps−295 bpsActive
Snowflake30.1%33.2%+310 bps−100 bpsEmerging
Teradata3.0%-1.8%−480 bps+90 bpsNeutral
Storage, data protection and
data management
Revenue
Growth
Cost of Revenue
Growth
Cost − Rev
Spread
Gross Margin
Δ
ACRD
Signal
Commvault21.0%18.7%−230 bps+60 bpsPositive
NetApp4.2%3.2%−100 bps+70 bpsPositive
Pure Storage16.0%19.3%+330 bps−140 bpsEmerging
Rubrik48.0%31.5%−1650 bps+400 bpsEmerging
Cybersecurity and
digital trust
Revenue
Growth
Cost of Revenue
Growth
Cost − Rev
Spread
Gross Margin
Δ
ACRD
Signal
BlackBerry10.0%6.3%−370 bps+60 bpsPositive
Check Point6.4%15.2%+880 bps−80 bpsEmerging
CrowdStrike23.0%21.6%−140 bps+30 bpsPositive
Fortinet15.0%9.4%−560 bps+90 bpsPositive
Gen Digital25.8%38.9%+1,310 bps−204 bpsActive
Palo Alto Networks16.0%12.8%−320 bps+60 bpsPositive
Qualys9.9%10.5%+60 bps−4 bpsNeutral
Rapid75.9%6.8%+90 bps−6 bpsNeutral
SailPoint20.0%16.0%−400 bps+80 bpsPositive
SentinelOne23.0%18.0%−500 bps+100 bpsPositive
Tenable10.5%7.0%−350 bps+100 bpsPositive
Varonis9.1%46.4%+3,730 bps-560 bpsActive
Zscaler25.5%30.6%+510 bps−92 bpsEmerging
Communications, CX and
engagement platforms
Revenue
Growth
Cost of Revenue
Growth
Cost − Rev
Spread
Gross Margin
Δ
ACRD
Signal
Braze25.5%36.4%+1,090 bps-262 bpsActive
Five98.0%-0.8%−880 bps+101 bpsPositive
Klaviyo34.6%32.1%−250 bps+54 bpsPositive
LivePerson-18.4%-24.6%−620 bps+290 bpsNeutral
RingCentral4.8%2.9%−190 bps+70 bpsPositive
Sprinklr9.2%27.2%+1,800 bps−490 bpsActive
Zscaler25.5%30.6%+510 bps−92 bpsEmerging
Yext-1.7%11.3%+1,300 bps−270 bpsNeutral
Zoom3.2%0.8%-240 bps+120 bpsPositive
Collaboration and
productivity SaaS
Revenue
Growth
Cost of Revenue
Growth
Cost − Rev
Spread
Gross Margin
Δ
ACRD
Signal
Atlassian23.3%6.5%−1,678 bps+236 bpsPositive
Box9.1%10.8%+170 bps−31 bpsNeutral
DocuSign8.4%8.9%+53 bps−10 bpsNeutral
Dropbox-1.1%10.6%+1,170 bps−230 bpsEmerging
monday .com24.7%29.8%+510 bps−80 bpsEmerging
Horizontal enterprise SaaSRevenue
Growth
Cost of Revenue
Growth
Cost − Rev
Spread
Gross Margin
Δ
ACRD
Signal
Adobe10.7%15.9%+520 bps−100 bpsPositive
Intuit17.8%9.4%−840 bps+170 bpsPositive
Salesforce10.9%11.8%+90 bps−30 bpsNeutral
SAP11.0%9.0%−200 bps+120 bpsPositive
ServiceNow22.5%20.4%−210 bps+40 bpsPositive
Workday16.4%15.1%−130 bps+30 bpsPositive
Industry and
vertical SaaS
Revenue
Growth
Cost of Revenue
Growth
Cost − Rev
Spread
Gross Margin
Δ
ACRD
Signal
Autodesk19.2%8.6%−1,060 bps+170 bpsPositive
Bentley Systems12.0%6.3%−570 bps+80 bpsPositive
Bill Holdings17.0%13.2%−380 bps+160 bpsPositive
Paycom9.2%-3.4%−1,255 bps225 bpsPositive
Paylocity12.5%11.7%−78 bps+22 bpsNeutral
Veeva16.0%14.5%−148 bps+29 bpsNeutral
AI platforms, automation and
decision systems
Revenue
Growth
Cost of Revenue
Growth
Cost − Rev
Spread
Gross Margin
Δ
ACRD
Signal
BigBear.ai-20.1%-16.4%+370 bps−370 bpsEmerging
C3.ai-29.1%18.4%+4,750 bps−2,710 bpsActive
Palantir69.6%32.3%−3,730 bps1,480 bpsPositive
SoundHound AI67.6%87.0%+1,946 bps−597 bpsEmerging
UiPath15.9%7.9%−800 bps+122 bpsEmerging
Web and
creator platforms
Revenue
Growth
Cost of Revenue
Growth
Cost − Rev
Spread
Gross Margin
Δ
ACRD
Signal
Freshworks14.0%7.8%−620 bps+200 bpsPositive
HubSpot20.0%17.3%−270 bps+120 bpsPositive
Wix14.0%15.7%+170 bps−100 bpsActive
Hyperscale cloud platformsRevenue
Growth
Cost of Revenue
Growth
Cost − Rev
Spread
Gross Margin
Δ
ACRD
Signal
Alphabet15.9%13.4%−250 bps+90 bpsPositive
Amazon12.0%13.8%+180 bps−60 bpsEmerging
IBM4.3%3.0%−130 bps+36 bpsEmerging
Microsoft17.0%19.0%+200 bps−100 bpsEmerging
Oracle 9.0%14.2%+520 bps−240 bpsActive

ACRD shows costs rising faster than revenue. Who wins AI? The first to cut its cost

Source: RevenueModel.ai

Signals are classified by cost-revenue divergence measured in basis points:

Positive — revenue growth exceeds cost growth
Neutral — within ±300 bps
Emerging — 300–500 bps divergence with margin compression
Active — >500 bps divergence with visible gross-margin pressure

Financial data derived from the most recent company 10-Q filings and corresponding earnings-call transcripts. The dataset is continuously updated as new filings appear.


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